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Biographical Note:
Maria Carla Galavotti Professor of Philosophy of Science at
the University of Bologna and a member of the Center for the Philosophy of
Science of the University of Pittsburgh and of Clare Hall College,
Cambridge. She has numerous publications on the foundations of
probability, as well as on various epistemological topics like the nature
of scientific explanation, prediction, causality, and the role and
structure of models in the natural and social sciences. She just published
the book Probabilità (La Nuova Italia, 2000). |
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Abstract:
From his first paper, written in 1926 at the age of twenty, to his
death in 1985, Bruno de Finetti published more than 290 works, including
books, articles and reviews. During such a long and productive career he
gave substantial contributions to the foundations of probability both from
a technical and a philosophical point of view, putting forward a very
original view. Bayesian subjectivist is the expression used by Bruno de
Finetti to qualify his own perspective, to stress that in his conception
Bayes' scheme is assigned a central role and that it goes together with a
subjective notion of probability. This position is inspired by what we
would today call a radically anti-realist philosophy. It finds in the
Bayesian approach a way for combining empiricism and pragmatism. The
resulting conception is not only incompatible with any perspective based
on an objective notion, but cannot be assimilated to other subjective
views of probability either. His starting point is the refusal of the
notion of truth, and the related notions of determinism and of immutable
and necessary laws. In their place, de Finetti reaffirms a conception of
science as a human activity, a product of thought, having as its main tool
probability. The paper will highlight the main features of de Finetti's
philosophy of probability, which can be seen as a radical form of
probabilism, centred on the subjective notion of probability as degree of
belief. |
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